Unless you live under a rock, you have probably heard that Nate Silver correctly predicted the Presidential winner for every single state. What are the odds of that? Sure there are indicators that could lead someone to believe that a state would be “red” or “blue.” We can all see that California is more liberal and likely to end up a “blue state,” while Oklahoma is always a “red state.” Those are obvious, but to guess all 50 states correctly? It must be a fluke. Bet he couldn’t do it twice.
See on www.statsoft.com